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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
15
No 50%
Total Value
$115.7
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
8 of 15 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x73d3b0ef...303679
Slug
will-free-patriotic-movement-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election