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Will François Hollande win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Apr 18, 2027
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes1%
No99%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance2.5%
1.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$3828.35
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
3928.3
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x37432e48...c25a94
Slug
will-francois-hollande-win-the-second-most-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2027-french-presidential-election