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Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 Action of the Year?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Jan 1, 2027
SIGNAL
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Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes2%
No98%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance2.8%
1.7¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$3431.88
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
3531.9
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x126d725a...1f41be
Slug
will-fernando-alonso-win-the-2026-action-of-the-year