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No
clazzy1CTR<$100Yes
balthazar<$100No
IstarothCTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will "expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$251.78
Combined PnL
$18.1
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$251.78
Total Shares252
Combined PnL+$19.1
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares21
Combined PnL-$1
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SH shovelingdigging | Noavg 92.4¢ | $251.78 | $251.78 | +$19.1 | 59% 291-199 (490) |
clazzy1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.8¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 62% 364-219 (583) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 96.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 19931-12391 (32322) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 40% 271-412 (683) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 10.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14275-25592 (39867) |
SH
shovelingdiggingInvested
$251.78
Value
$251.78
PnL
+$19.1
Record
59%
291-199 (490)
clazzy1CTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
62%
364-219 (583)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
19931-12391 (32322)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
40%
271-412 (683)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14275-25592 (39867)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4c5b56c7...d6cd22
Slug
will-expectations-olivia-rodrigo-chappell-roan-be-the-billboard-hot-100-2-song-for-the-week-of-october-31