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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.

Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 on November 14?

Resolved Yes. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

7

No 60%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$24.8K

Combined PnL

$-4.8K

Smart Money Signal

No

5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares32,969

Combined PnL$-5.1K

Yes2 traders

Total Value$5.1K

Total Shares5,082

Combined PnL+$236.16

No — 71%Yes — 29%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452ARB<$100	Noavg 50.7¢	$19.1K	$19.0K	-$26.3	69% 206-92 (298)
└ Yes leg	Yesavg 48¢	$9.1K	$19.0K	+$9.9K
└ No leg	Noavg 50.7¢	$9.9K	—	$-9.9K
EA Eager47259CTR	Noavg 9.2¢	$3.2K	—	$-2.7K	48% 204-219 (423)
CoinTrick	Yesavg 99¢	$4.7K	$4.7K	+$47.5	99% 272-1 (273)
CL CleanCoinFlipARB<$100	Noavg 46.2¢	$1.7K	$658.39	+$2.9K	53% 56-50 (106)
└ No leg	Noavg 46.2¢	$1.3K	—	$-1.4K
└ Yes leg	Yesavg 3¢	$19.75	$658.39	+$4.4K
SH Sharky6999CTR	Noavg 55.4¢	$1.6K	—	$-1.3K	92% 130-12 (142)
TO TokorCTR	Noavg 78.4¢	$1.3K	—	$-1.2K	52% 135-126 (261)
GE getbipped	Yesavg 43.3¢	$144.07	$332.73	+$188.66	46% 21-25 (46)
0X 0x90d4B0aA65D33FEFC7F978688A803260A5A82DeE-1775326496677CTR<$100	Noavg 11¢	$6.59	—	+$23.07	56% 22-17 (39)
BU Burkilota1CTR<$100	Noavg 10.4¢	$8	—	+$26.46	64% 188-106 (294)

0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452ARB<$100

Invested

$19,074.3

Value

$19.0K

PnL

-$26.3

Record

69%

206-92 (298)

Both legs:

Yes$9,137.7848¢+$9.9K

No$9,936.5250.7¢$-9.9K

Invested

$3,174.5

Value

—

PnL

$-2.7K

Record

48%

204-219 (423)

Invested

$4,702.21

Value

$4.7K

PnL

+$47.5

Record

99%

272-1 (273)

CleanCoinFlipARB<$100

Invested

$1,706.56

Value

$658.39

PnL

+$2.9K

Record

53%

56-50 (106)

Both legs:

No$1,336.0646.2¢$-1.4K

Yes$19.753¢+$4.4K

Invested

$1,554.64

Value

—

PnL

$-1.3K

Record

92%

130-12 (142)

Invested

$1,259.09

Value

—

PnL

$-1.2K

Record

52%

135-126 (261)

Invested

$144.07

Value

$332.73

PnL

+$188.66

Record

46%

21-25 (46)

0x90d4B0aA65D33FEFC7F978688A803260A5A82DeE-1775326496677CTR<$100

Invested

$6.59

Value

—

PnL

+$23.07

Record

56%

22-17 (39)

Burkilota1CTR<$100

Invested

$8

Value

—

PnL

+$26.46

Record

64%

188-106 (294)

Smart Money Signal

No

5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xeaa1d25b...110524

Slug

will-ethereum-dip-to-1750-on-november-14-2026

Traders in this Market

0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452

Arbitrage — excluded

Eager47259

No — $0

CoinTrick

Yes — $4.7K

CleanCoinFlip

Arbitrage — excluded

Sharky6999

No — $0

Tokor

No — $0

getbipped

Yes — $332.73

0x90d4B0aA65D33FEFC7F978688A803260A5A82DeE-1775326496677

No — $0

Burkilota1

No — $0

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