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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on October 31?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 80%
Total Value
$82.4
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 5 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6370eac9...1c4968
Slug
will-elon-musks-net-worth-be-at-least-1pt20t-on-october-31-2026