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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
18
Yes 80%
Total Value
$42
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
14 of 18 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7b14cb5b...46d109
Slug
will-elizabeth-genesis-amado-quispe-win-the-next-arequipa-mayoral-elections-20260811165718002