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smellyEllieYes
petehegseth<$100Yes
themagicofcinema<$100Yes
AnjunCTR<$100No
-Dominus-<$100Yes
IstarothCTR<$100NoYes
2B9SCTR<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 26, 2026?
Resolved Yes. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 100%
Total Value
$2.1K
Combined PnL
$211.58
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$2.1K
Total Shares2,133
Combined PnL+$211.58
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 63%No — 37%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
smellyEllie | Yesavg 88.9¢ | $1.8K | $2.0K | +$210.79 | 50% 923-939 (1862) |
petehegseth<$100 | Yesavg 99¢ | $73.62 | $73.62 | +$0.74 | 83% 25-5 (30) |
themagicofcinema<$100 | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $53.54 | $53.54 | +$0.05 | 66% 380-198 (578) |
AnjunCTR<$100 | Noavg 9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 4871-3874 (8745) |
-Dominus-<$100 | Yesavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 68% 325-152 (477) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Noavg 11¢ | — | — | +$0 | 37% 273-472 (745) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Yesavg 91.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14380-25784 (40164) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Noavg 1.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3740-16588 (20328) |
smellyEllieInvested
$1,795.05
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$210.79
Record
50%
923-939 (1862)
petehegseth<$100Invested
$73.62
Value
$73.62
PnL
+$0.74
Record
83%
25-5 (30)
themagicofcinema<$100Invested
$53.54
Value
$53.54
PnL
+$0.05
Record
66%
380-198 (578)
AnjunCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
4871-3874 (8745)
-Dominus-<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
68%
325-152 (477)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
37%
273-472 (745)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14380-25784 (40164)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3740-16588 (20328)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf546d14e...394f98
Slug
will-donald-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on-october-26-2026-20261001004229017