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No
Nooserac<$100NoNoYes
IstarothCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Derke play for Gentle Mates in 2027?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$79.37
Combined PnL
$0.12
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$79.37
Total Shares79
Combined PnL+$0.12
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZX zxc368<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $79.25 | $79.37 | +$0.12 | 99% 12736-184 (12920) |
Nooserac<$100 | Noavg 90.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 5722-5285 (11007) |
0X 0x38d5a13ef8e32d5e5a808ceba52d6ac78d4c063c<$100 | Noavg 76¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 556-285 (841) |
ME merodCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 52% 2436-2226 (4662) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 15.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 25% 283-869 (1152) |
ZX
zxc368<$100Invested
$79.25
Value
$79.37
PnL
+$0.12
Record
99%
12736-184 (12920)
Nooserac<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
5722-5285 (11007)
0X
0x38d5a13ef8e32d5e5a808ceba52d6ac78d4c063c<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
556-285 (841)
ME
merodCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
2436-2226 (4662)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
25%
283-869 (1152)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf9495289...361608
Slug
will-derke-play-for-gentle-mates-in-2027-1788364450495