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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?
Resolved No. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
19
Yes 42%
Total Value
$683.35
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
8 of 19 top traders (42%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xfa49cb66...38a055
Slug
will-democrats-win-exactly-3-house-seats-in-nevada-in-the-2026-midterm-elections-20260811010753574