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Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections?

Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 4

Yes11¢No89¢Ends Wed, Nov 4, 2026View on Polymarket
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Consensus Traders

0

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$0

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes11%
No90%

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance11.9%

10.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.4¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$739.84
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
839.8

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xb8d98e30...15c8e5
Slug
will-democrats-win-exactly-1-house-seat-in-tennessee-in-the-2026-midterm-elections

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