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Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 3
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes15%
No85%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance16.7%
15.2¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.5¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$497.26
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
597.3
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xb0a2ecfa...86ee2b
Slug
will-democrats-win-7-or-more-house-seats-in-arizona-in-the-2026-midterm-elections-20260811010742629