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LucerysCTR<$100YesYes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100YesYesYes
balthazar<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will "Cyberpunk 2077" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$5.59
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares792
Combined PnL-$5.59
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 83%No — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LucerysCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | $0.84 | — | -$0.84 | 79% 11953-3142 (15095) |
MI mildwindow27CTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | -$3.23 | 47% 8058-9227 (17285) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1¢ | $0.02 | — | -$0.02 | 20% 2469-9859 (12328) |
AB ABC12345654321CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.4¢ | $0.18 | — | -$1.49 | 50% 1695-1680 (3375) |
E4 e46m3CTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 73% 13376-5006 (18382) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 28631-25560 (54191) |
LucerysCTR<$100Invested
$0.84
Value
—
PnL
-$0.84
Record
79%
11953-3142 (15095)
MI
mildwindow27CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$3.23
Record
47%
8058-9227 (17285)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
$0.02
Value
—
PnL
-$0.02
Record
20%
2469-9859 (12328)
AB
ABC12345654321CTR<$100Invested
$0.18
Value
—
PnL
-$1.49
Record
50%
1695-1680 (3375)
E4
e46m3CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
73%
13376-5006 (18382)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
28631-25560 (54191)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdb0fa523...2ec906
Slug
will-cyberpunk-2077-be-the-1-steam-weekly-top-seller-week-of-october-27-2026