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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?

Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Yes 100%

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

-$28.57

Smart Money Signal

Yes

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares200

Combined PnL-$28.57

No5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares0

Combined PnL+$0

Yes — 50%No — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100	Yesavg 14.3¢	$28.57	—	-$28.57	46% 126-150 (276)
balthazarCTR<$100	Yesavg 1.9¢	—	—	+$0	62% 20089-12550 (32639)
KA kaxel78<$100	Noavg 80¢	—	—	+$0	32% 236-493 (729)
AK akroll<$100	Noavg 80¢	—	—	+$0	34% 289-573 (862)
KL klli27<$100	Noavg 80¢	—	—	+$0	32% 263-556 (819)
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100	Noavg 87.7¢	—	—	+$0	53% 6112-5366 (11478)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100	Yesavg 1.8¢	—	—	+$0	32% 4215-8858 (13073)
cat-dog<$100	Noavg 78.1¢	—	—	+$0	74% 82-29 (111)
IstarothCTR<$100	Yesavg 26¢	—	—	+$0	38% 273-442 (715)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	Yesavg 6.2¢	—	—	+$0	36% 14340-25707 (40047)

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100

Invested

$28.57

Value

—

PnL

-$28.57

Record

46%

126-150 (276)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

62%

20089-12550 (32639)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

236-493 (729)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

34%

289-573 (862)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

263-556 (819)

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

6112-5366 (11478)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

4215-8858 (13073)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

74%

82-29 (111)

IstarothCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

38%

273-442 (715)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

14340-25707 (40047)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x426ac8c9...3ee365

Slug

will-clayface-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-28m-and-31m

Traders in this Market

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73

Yes — $0

balthazar

Yes — $0

kaxel78

No — $0

akroll

No — $0

klli27

No — $0

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed

No — $0

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

Yes — $0

cat-dog

No — $0

Istaroth

Yes — $0

xtxpleasecallme

Yes — $0

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