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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?

Resolved No. 92% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

No 67%

Total Value

$102.55

Combined PnL

$11.49

Smart Money Signal

No

11 of 12 top traders (92%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No11 traders

Total Value$102.55

Total Shares103

Combined PnL+$13.74

Yes1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares32

Combined PnL-$2.25

No — 92%Yes — 8%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x91c363acd95bb150d4fd28912737eaf6125b409f<$100	Noavg 97¢	$50	$51.55	+$1.55	71% 120-48 (168)
0X 0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793e<$100	Noavg 81¢	$41.31	$51	+$12.19	52% 293-268 (561)
0X 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fCTR<$100	Yesavg 7.1¢	$2.25	—	-$2.25	80% 323-83 (406)
balthazar<$100	Noavg 89.5¢	—	—	+$0	62% 20089-12550 (32639)
KA kaxel78<$100	Noavg 76¢	—	—	+$0	32% 236-493 (729)
AK akroll<$100	Noavg 76¢	—	—	+$0	34% 289-573 (862)
KL klli27<$100	Noavg 76¢	—	—	+$0	32% 263-556 (819)
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100	Noavg 79.6¢	—	—	+$0	53% 6112-5366 (11478)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100	Noavg 99.4¢	—	—	+$0	32% 4215-8858 (13073)
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73<$100	Noavg 99.7¢	—	—	+$0	46% 126-150 (276)
Istaroth<$100	Noavg 72.4¢	—	—	+$0	38% 273-442 (715)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Noavg 83.3¢	—	—	+$0	36% 14340-25707 (40047)

0x91c363acd95bb150d4fd28912737eaf6125b409f<$100

Invested

$50

Value

$51.55

PnL

+$1.55

Record

71%

120-48 (168)

0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793e<$100

Invested

$41.31

Value

$51

PnL

+$12.19

Record

52%

293-268 (561)

0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fCTR<$100

Invested

$2.25

Value

—

PnL

-$2.25

Record

80%

323-83 (406)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

62%

20089-12550 (32639)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

236-493 (729)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

34%

289-573 (862)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

263-556 (819)

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

6112-5366 (11478)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

4215-8858 (13073)

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

126-150 (276)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

38%

273-442 (715)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

14340-25707 (40047)

Smart Money Signal

No

11 of 12 top traders (92%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x8abc6af3...807a1b

Slug

will-clayface-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-25m-and-28m

Traders in this Market

0x91c363acd95bb150d4fd28912737eaf6125b409f

No — $51.55

0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793e

No — $51

0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f

Yes — $0

balthazar

No — $0

kaxel78

No — $0

akroll

No — $0

klli27

No — $0

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed

No — $0

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

No — $0

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73

No — $0

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