PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $21M and $22.5M?

Resolved No. 27% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

No 50%

Total Value

$500.52

Combined PnL

-$403.46

Smart Money Signal

No

3 of 11 top traders (27%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No3 traders
Total Value$500.52
Total Shares501
Combined PnL+$1.54
Yes8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,000
Combined PnL-$405
No — 27%Yes — 73%
OraculumNobius
No

Invested

$500

Value

$500.5

PnL

-$0.5

Record

90%

5305-607 (5912)

0X
0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793eCTR
Yes

Invested

$400

Value

—

PnL

-$405

Record

52%

293-268 (561)

RO
Rock.San
No

Invested

$252.15

Value

$0.02

PnL

+$2.04

Record

89%

11715-1404 (13119)

balthazarCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

62%

20089-12550 (32639)

CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

6112-5366 (11478)

0X
0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

80%

323-83 (406)

0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

4215-8858 (13073)

GH
ghorrockCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

12531-9470 (22001)

RL
RLWGCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

7452-7495 (14947)

cat-dogCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

74%

82-29 (111)

XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

14340-25707 (40047)

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xaf541e8e...d6c499
Slug
will-clayface-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-21m-and-22-5m-tighter-20261025

Traders in this Market

OraculumNobius

No — $500.5

-$0.5
0X

0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793e

CTR

Yes — $0

-$405
RO

Rock.San

No — $0.02

+$2.04

balthazar

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
CB

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
0X

0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f

No — $0

+$0
0X

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
GH

ghorrock

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
RL

RLWG

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0

cat-dog

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
Trade on Polymarket