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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?

Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

No 100%

Total Value

$1.7K

Combined PnL

$105.6

Smart Money Signal

No

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No4 traders

Total Value$1.7K

Total Shares1,666

Combined PnL+$105.6

Yes4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares0

Combined PnL+$0

No — 50%Yes — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f	Noavg 93.7¢	$1.6K	$1.7K	+$105.6	80% 323-83 (406)
balthazarCTR<$100	Yesavg 1.2¢	—	—	+$0	62% 20089-12550 (32639)
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100	Noavg 91¢	—	—	+$0	53% 6112-5366 (11478)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100	Noavg 89.4¢	—	—	+$0	32% 4215-8858 (13073)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Yesavg 15¢	—	—	+$0	57% 12531-9470 (22001)
cat-dog<$100	Noavg 79.1¢	—	—	+$0	74% 82-29 (111)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	Yesavg 11.7¢	—	—	+$0	36% 14340-25707 (40047)
0X 0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793eCTR<$100	Yesavg 6¢	—	—	+$0	52% 293-268 (561)

0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f

Invested

$1,560.61

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$105.6

Record

80%

323-83 (406)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

62%

20089-12550 (32639)

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

6112-5366 (11478)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

4215-8858 (13073)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

12531-9470 (22001)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

74%

82-29 (111)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

14340-25707 (40047)

0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793eCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

293-268 (561)

Smart Money Signal

No

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa6915462...8675c9

Slug

will-clayface-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-19-5m-and-21m-tighter-20261025

Traders in this Market

0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f

No — $1.7K

balthazar

Yes — $0

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed

No — $0

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

No — $0

ghorrock

Yes — $0

cat-dog

No — $0

xtxpleasecallme

Yes — $0

0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793e

Yes — $0

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