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Yes
balthazarCTR<$100YesNoNoNoYes
cat-dog<$100NoYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 37m?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$28.57
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares200
Combined PnL-$28.57
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100 | Yesavg 14.3¢ | $28.57 | — | -$28.57 | 46% 126-150 (276) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 20089-12550 (32639) |
KA kaxel78<$100 | Noavg 97¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 236-493 (729) |
AK akroll<$100 | Noavg 97¢ | — | — | +$0 | 34% 289-573 (862) |
KL klli27<$100 | Noavg 97¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 263-556 (819) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4215-8858 (13073) |
cat-dog<$100 | Noavg 97.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 74% 82-29 (111) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14340-25707 (40047) |
0X
0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100Invested
$28.57
Value
—
PnL
-$28.57
Record
46%
126-150 (276)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
20089-12550 (32639)
KA
kaxel78<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
236-493 (729)
AK
akroll<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
34%
289-573 (862)
KL
klli27<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
263-556 (819)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4215-8858 (13073)
cat-dog<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
74%
82-29 (111)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14340-25707 (40047)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6ed44c26...728828
Slug
will-clayface-opening-weekend-box-office-be-at-least-37m