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OraculumNobiusNoYes
balthazar<$100NoNoYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$380
Combined PnL
-$7.95
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$380
Total Shares380
Combined PnL+$0.38
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares33
Combined PnL-$8.33
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OraculumNobius | Noavg 99.9¢ | $379.62 | $380 | +$0.38 | 89% 5140-604 (5744) |
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100 | Yesavg 25¢ | $8.33 | — | -$8.33 | 47% 124-142 (266) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 19071-11688 (30759) |
KA kaxel78<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 34% 233-444 (677) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 3992-8471 (12463) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14106-25213 (39319) |
OraculumNobiusInvested
$379.62
Value
$380
PnL
+$0.38
Record
89%
5140-604 (5744)
0X
0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100Invested
$8.33
Value
—
PnL
-$8.33
Record
47%
124-142 (266)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
19071-11688 (30759)
KA
kaxel78<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
34%
233-444 (677)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
3992-8471 (12463)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14106-25213 (39319)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xaa287e5a...99e1e7
Slug
will-claude-opus-5pt5-high-be-the-best-ai-model-on-october-26-2026