Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?
Resolved No. 22% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Yes 25%
$805.54
-$801.16
Smart Money Signal
2 of 9 top traders (22%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZX zxc368 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $446.3 | $446.3 | +$0.64 | 99% 12306-175 (12481) |
AB ABC12345654321 | Noavg 93.8¢ | $339.24 | $339.24 | +$21.08 | 51% 1625-1585 (3210) |
 OraculumNobius<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $19.98 | $20 | +$0.03 | 90% 5292-607 (5899) |
SH shovelingdiggingCTR | Yesavg 74.2¢ | $822.91 | — | -$822.91 | 59% 291-199 (490) |
 balthazar<$100 | Noavg 58¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 19931-12391 (32322) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 86.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6100-5351 (11451) |
 KimchiCapitalCTR<$100 | Yesavg 20¢ | — | — | +$0 | 76% 479-154 (633) |
 Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 84.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 40% 271-412 (683) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 58.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14275-25592 (39867) |
Invested
$446.3
Value
$446.3
PnL
+$0.64
Record
99%
12306-175 (12481)
Invested
$339.24
Value
$339.24
PnL
+$21.08
Record
51%
1625-1585 (3210)
OraculumNobius<$100Invested
$19.98
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.03
Record
90%
5292-607 (5899)
Invested
$822.91
Value
—
PnL
-$822.91
Record
59%
291-199 (490)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
19931-12391 (32322)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6100-5351 (11451)
KimchiCapitalCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
76%
479-154 (633)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
40%
271-412 (683)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14275-25592 (39867)
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