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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will Catherine McKenney win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Yes 100%

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$1.24

Smart Money Signal

Yes

10 of 14 top traders (71%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes10 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares311
Combined PnL-$1.83
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$3.07
Yes — 71%No — 29%
PO
pollo07CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.11

Value

—

PnL

-$0.11

Record

32%

292-610 (902)

VA
Vale54holiCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.11

Value

—

PnL

-$0.11

Record

28%

151-380 (531)

LI
LikaseentCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.11

Value

—

PnL

-$0.11

Record

30%

176-414 (590)

AK
akrollCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.11

Value

—

PnL

-$0.11

Record

33%

295-592 (887)

KL
klli27CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.11

Value

—

PnL

-$0.11

Record

32%

269-575 (844)

ZE
zerone777CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$1.26

Value

—

PnL

-$1.26

Record

42%

370-508 (878)

balthazar<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

62%

20228-12642 (32870)

PE
peepeepooppoopCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

1991-1783 (3774)

KO
korda77<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

4817-4363 (9180)

HO
HourglassCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

77%

8529-2565 (11094)

XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

14393-25798 (40191)

IN
influenz.eth<$100
No

Invested

$13.47

Value

—

PnL

+$3.07

Record

42%

9382-12951 (22333)

CR
cry.eth2CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

42%

9351-12886 (22237)

SN
SnapElectionAvoider<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

1058-953 (2011)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xcd0cf3f5...27f03b
Slug
will-catherine-mckenney-win-the-2026-ottawa-mayoral-election

Traders in this Market

PO

pollo07

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.11
VA

Vale54holi

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.11
LI

Likaseent

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.11
AK

akroll

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.11
KL

klli27

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.11
ZE

zerone777

CTR

Yes — $0

-$1.26

balthazar

No — $0

+$0
PE

peepeepooppoop

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
KO

korda77

No — $0

+$0
HO

Hourglass

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
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