Back to Markets
NoYesYesYesNo
balthazar<$100NoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Cambodia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision Asia 2026 Grand Final?
Resolved No. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 75%
Total Value
$10
Combined PnL
-$4.95
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$10
Total Shares10
Combined PnL-$2.99
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares55
Combined PnL-$1.96
No — 57%Yes — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO godblessme2026<$100 | Noavg 99.3¢ | $9.93 | $10 | +$0.07 | 35% 290-535 (825) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $1.42 | — | -$1.42 | 18% 853-3934 (4787) |
AH aHjCzCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $0.39 | — | -$0.38 | 25% 1318-3976 (5294) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $0.16 | — | -$0.16 | 26% 715-2057 (2772) |
E4 e46m3<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $55.91 | — | -$1.63 | 42% 2632-3664 (6296) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.6¢ | $22.45 | — | -$0.61 | 43% 5103-6732 (11835) |
QU quietparcel<$100 | Noavg 99.6¢ | $29.88 | — | -$0.82 | 34% 238-461 (699) |
GO
godblessme2026<$100Invested
$9.93
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.07
Record
35%
290-535 (825)
0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100Invested
$1.42
Value
—
PnL
-$1.42
Record
18%
853-3934 (4787)
AH
aHjCzCTR<$100Invested
$0.39
Value
—
PnL
-$0.38
Record
25%
1318-3976 (5294)
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
$0.16
Value
—
PnL
-$0.16
Record
26%
715-2057 (2772)
E4
e46m3<$100Invested
$55.91
Value
—
PnL
-$1.63
Record
42%
2632-3664 (6296)
balthazar<$100Invested
$22.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.61
Record
43%
5103-6732 (11835)
QU
quietparcel<$100Invested
$29.88
Value
—
PnL
-$0.82
Record
34%
238-461 (699)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x2c80c537...1abfca
Slug
will-cambodia-be-the-jury-winner-in-the-eurovision-asia-2026-grand-final