Back to Markets
Will BNG win exactly 1 seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 30
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes11%
No90%
Chat
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance11.9%
10.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.4¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$739.84
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
839.8
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x66eb3b49...baeeab
Slug
will-bng-win-exactly-1-seat-in-the-2026-spanish-general-election