Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 29?
Resolved Yes. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
No 71%
$5.2K
$-17.1K
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452CTR | Noavg 81¢ | $21.0K | — | $-21.0K | 65% 2367-1272 (3639) |
SH Sharky6999CTR | Noavg 19.9¢ | $324.83 | — | -$324.83 | 98% 6846-160 (7006) |
NE never-stop-clicking | Yesavg 15.9¢ | $521.72 | $3.3K | +$2.8K | 31% 90-196 (286) |
0X 0xDB5CTR | Noavg 85.9¢ | $709.72 | — | -$177.49 | 59% 2174-1532 (3706) |
TO Tokor | Yesavg 8.7¢ | $168.81 | $1.9K | +$1.8K | 63% 758-439 (1197) |
 FacaieCTR | Noavg 87¢ | $173.9 | — | -$173.9 | 92% 1223-102 (1325) |
 justdanceCTR<$100 | Noavg 68.5¢ | $40.62 | — | -$43.38 | 52% 2695-2537 (5232) |
FI fish8975344<$100 | Yesavg 4¢ | $98.66 | $0.01 | +$68.25 | 24% 8-26 (34) |
Invested
$20,961.47
Value
—
PnL
$-21.0K
Record
65%
2367-1272 (3639)
Invested
$324.83
Value
—
PnL
-$324.83
Record
98%
6846-160 (7006)
Invested
$521.72
Value
$3.3K
PnL
+$2.8K
Record
31%
90-196 (286)
Invested
$709.72
Value
—
PnL
-$177.49
Record
59%
2174-1532 (3706)
Invested
$168.81
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$1.8K
Record
63%
758-439 (1197)
FacaieCTRInvested
$173.9
Value
—
PnL
-$173.9
Record
92%
1223-102 (1325)
justdanceCTR<$100Invested
$40.62
Value
—
PnL
-$43.38
Record
52%
2695-2537 (5232)
Invested
$98.66
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$68.25
Record
24%
8-26 (34)
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