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YesYesYesYesYesNo
justdanceCTRNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 12?
Resolved Yes. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 33%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$24.6K
Combined PnL
$-2.4K
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 6 top traders (33%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$24.2K
Total Shares24,165
Combined PnL+$8.7K
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares22,032
Combined PnL$-11.1K
Yes — 67%No — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Yesavg 43.1¢ | $13.9K | $18.5K | +$4.8K | 67% 105-51 (156) |
SH shaillakhani | Yesavg 26.9¢ | $1.3K | $4.8K | +$3.5K | 1% 2-197 (199) |
EA Eager47259ARB<$100 | Yesavg 38.1¢ | $350.28 | $477 | +$251.93 | 47% 102-115 (217) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 1¢ | $100 | — | -$96 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 38.1¢ | $181.84 | $477 | +$347.93 | |
NO NotJump | Yesavg 42.7¢ | $1.3K | $601.41 | +$323.49 | 54% 428-364 (792) |
0X 0xDB5 | Yesavg 71.4¢ | $594.56 | $266.1 | +$81.35 | 74% 75-26 (101) |
CL CleanCoinFlipCTR | Noavg 8.7¢ | $538.29 | — | -$583.14 | 47% 27-31 (58) |
justdanceCTR | Noavg 48.7¢ | $10.5K | — | $-10.5K | 63% 24-14 (38) |
0X
0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Invested
$13,877.45
Value
$18.5K
PnL
+$4.8K
Record
67%
105-51 (156)
SH
shaillakhaniInvested
$1,300
Value
$4.8K
PnL
+$3.5K
Record
1%
2-197 (199)
EA
Eager47259ARB<$100Invested
$350.28
Value
$477
PnL
+$251.93
Record
47%
102-115 (217)
Both legs:
No$1001¢-$96
Yes$181.8438.1¢+$347.93
NO
NotJumpInvested
$1,286.7
Value
$601.41
PnL
+$323.49
Record
54%
428-364 (792)
0X
0xDB5Invested
$594.56
Value
$266.1
PnL
+$81.35
Record
74%
75-26 (101)
CL
CleanCoinFlipCTRInvested
$538.29
Value
—
PnL
-$583.14
Record
47%
27-31 (58)
justdanceCTRInvested
$10,499.85
Value
—
PnL
$-10.5K
Record
63%
24-14 (38)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9facc53e...5d0083
Slug
will-bitcoin-dip-to-72k-on-november-12-2026