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NoNoYesYes
balthazar<$100NoNoYesNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Bhutan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision Asia 2026 Grand Final?
Resolved No. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
9
No 50%
Total Value
$40
Combined PnL
$1.41
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$40
Total Shares40
Combined PnL+$3.32
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares61
Combined PnL-$1.91
No — 56%Yes — 44%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HA haveagoodday<$100 | Noavg 97.1¢ | $29.13 | $30 | +$0.87 | 42% 1635-2289 (3924) |
SM smallreceipt<$100 | Noavg 98.7¢ | $9.87 | $10 | +$0.13 | 30% 253-582 (835) |
E4 e46m3CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 42% 2632-3664 (6296) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $0.16 | — | -$0.16 | 26% 715-2057 (2772) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 91.8¢ | $20.68 | $0 | +$1.16 | 43% 5103-6732 (11835) |
AH aHjCz<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $12.51 | — | -$0.37 | 25% 1318-3976 (5294) |
WA WarriorHCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 9% 15-143 (158) |
QU quietparcel<$100 | Noavg 91.8¢ | $27.53 | — | +$1.54 | 34% 238-461 (699) |
SU SulkingCryptoCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 17% 25-124 (149) |
HA
haveagoodday<$100Invested
$29.13
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.87
Record
42%
1635-2289 (3924)
SM
smallreceipt<$100Invested
$9.87
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.13
Record
30%
253-582 (835)
E4
e46m3CTR<$100Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
42%
2632-3664 (6296)
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
$0.16
Value
—
PnL
-$0.16
Record
26%
715-2057 (2772)
balthazar<$100Invested
$20.68
Value
$0
PnL
+$1.16
Record
43%
5103-6732 (11835)
AH
aHjCz<$100Invested
$12.51
Value
—
PnL
-$0.37
Record
25%
1318-3976 (5294)
WA
WarriorHCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
9%
15-143 (158)
QU
quietparcel<$100Invested
$27.53
Value
—
PnL
+$1.54
Record
34%
238-461 (699)
SU
SulkingCryptoCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
17%
25-124 (149)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf3222d47...a64e96
Slug
will-bhutan-be-the-jury-winner-in-the-eurovision-asia-2026-grand-final