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NoYes
balthazarCTR<$100YesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Bersatu win the 2026 Melaka general elections?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 80%
Total Value
$55
Combined PnL
-$4.06
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$55
Total Shares55
Combined PnL+$0.05
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares55
Combined PnL-$4.11
No — 20%Yes — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $54.95 | $55 | +$0.05 | 53% 7113-6221 (13334) |
KO korda77CTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.5¢ | $1.18 | — | -$1.18 | 24% 100-319 (419) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.5¢ | $30.61 | — | -$1.97 | 43% 5103-6732 (11835) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.5¢ | $8.53 | — | -$0.51 | 26% 715-2057 (2772) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.5¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 29% 3215-8065 (11280) |
CI
cigarettes<$100Invested
$54.95
Value
$55
PnL
+$0.05
Record
53%
7113-6221 (13334)
KO
korda77CTR<$100Invested
$1.18
Value
—
PnL
-$1.18
Record
24%
100-319 (419)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$30.61
Value
—
PnL
-$1.97
Record
43%
5103-6732 (11835)
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
$8.53
Value
—
PnL
-$0.51
Record
26%
715-2057 (2772)
QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
29%
3215-8065 (11280)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf8627e97...812fed
Slug
will-bersatu-win-the-2026-melaka-general-elections