Back to Markets
Will Basilio Núñez win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends May 1, 2028
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes15%
No85%
Chat
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance16.5%
15.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.5¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$504.68
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
604.7
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xe5af60e9...366d1f
Slug
will-basilio-nunez-win-the-2028-paraguay-presidential-election