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NoYesYesYes
balthazar<$100NoNoNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Bangladesh be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision Asia 2026 Grand Final?
Resolved No. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 75%
Total Value
$30
Combined PnL
-$3.42
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 8 top traders (38%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$30
Total Shares30
Combined PnL-$0.96
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares71
Combined PnL-$2.46
No — 63%Yes — 37%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO god83743894<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | $29.91 | $30 | +$0.09 | 36% 263-468 (731) |
E4 e46m3CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 42% 2632-3664 (6296) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $0.32 | — | -$0.32 | 18% 853-3934 (4787) |
AH aHjCzCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $0.39 | — | -$0.38 | 25% 1318-3976 (5294) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | $22.48 | $0 | -$0.64 | 43% 5103-6732 (11835) |
NO northdrawer<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $9.98 | — | -$0.29 | 29% 1113-2674 (3787) |
QU quietparcel<$100 | Noavg 96.8¢ | $29.04 | — | +$0.02 | 34% 238-461 (699) |
LU luciebot<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $4.99 | — | -$0.15 | 26% 715-2057 (2772) |
GO
god83743894<$100Invested
$29.91
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.09
Record
36%
263-468 (731)
E4
e46m3CTR<$100Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
42%
2632-3664 (6296)
0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100Invested
$0.32
Value
—
PnL
-$0.32
Record
18%
853-3934 (4787)
AH
aHjCzCTR<$100Invested
$0.39
Value
—
PnL
-$0.38
Record
25%
1318-3976 (5294)
balthazar<$100Invested
$22.48
Value
$0
PnL
-$0.64
Record
43%
5103-6732 (11835)
NO
northdrawer<$100Invested
$9.98
Value
—
PnL
-$0.29
Record
29%
1113-2674 (3787)
QU
quietparcel<$100Invested
$29.04
Value
—
PnL
+$0.02
Record
34%
238-461 (699)
LU
luciebot<$100Invested
$4.99
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
26%
715-2057 (2772)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf363d446...10e84e
Slug
will-bangladesh-be-the-jury-winner-in-the-eurovision-asia-2026-grand-final