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YesNoYesNo
2B9SCTR<$100YesYes
UbuntuTradingCTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Austin FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$73.97
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,293
Combined PnL-$73.97
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 75%No — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PE peepeepooppoopCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.2¢ | $73.97 | — | -$73.97 | 52% 2034-1855 (3889) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Noavg 99.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 77% 11159-3408 (14567) |
ME merodCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 52% 2443-2243 (4686) |
HO Hourglass<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 77% 8870-2629 (11499) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3784-17134 (20918) |
IN influenz.ethCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 9950-13862 (23812) |
UbuntuTradingCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 57% 3056-2310 (5366) |
CR cry.eth2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 40% 9447-14167 (23614) |
PE
peepeepooppoopCTR<$100Invested
$73.97
Value
—
PnL
-$73.97
Record
52%
2034-1855 (3889)
EL
Elias.Thornwell<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
77%
11159-3408 (14567)
ME
merodCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
2443-2243 (4686)
HO
Hourglass<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
77%
8870-2629 (11499)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3784-17134 (20918)
IN
influenz.ethCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
9950-13862 (23812)
UbuntuTradingCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
3056-2310 (5366)
CR
cry.eth2CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
40%
9447-14167 (23614)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x20ab2877...e3dbed
Slug
will-austin-fc-win-the-2026-mls-cup