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Will Atiku Abubakar win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Jan 16, 2027
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes2%
No98%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance2.9%
1.8¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$3400.21
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
3500.2
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x16dea458...bab70a
Slug
will-atiku-abubakar-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030951