Back to Markets
Will Arkansas be the closest Senate race in 2026?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Nov 4
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Chat
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance1.1%
0.1¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$8644.96
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
8745.0
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x873c2057...cd45c3
Slug
will-arkansas-be-the-closest-senate-race-in-2026