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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 71%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 8 top traders (71%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x53082897...a6de18
Slug
will-arab-socialist-baath-party-in-lebanon-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election