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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Wearables, Home and Accessories revenue be above $9B?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 40%
Total Value
$412.06
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 5 top traders (40%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc34ac8f7...d86df1
Slug
will-apple-aapl-q4-wearables-home-and-accessories-revenue-be-above-20261008120120000-9b