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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will any other model be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?

Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

No 67%

Total Value

$1.0K

Combined PnL

-$19.76

Smart Money Signal

No

4 of 10 top traders (40%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No4 traders

Total Value$1.0K

Total Shares1,000

Combined PnL+$1

Yes6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares541

Combined PnL-$20.76

No — 40%Yes — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CoinTrick	Noavg 99.9¢	$681	$681	+$0.68	98% 2932-70 (3002)
OraculumNobius	Noavg 99.9¢	$318.68	$319	+$0.32	89% 5140-604 (5744)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	Yesavg 10.6¢	$67.2	—	-$20.76	36% 14106-25213 (39319)
balthazar<$100	Noavg 72¢	—	—	+$0	62% 19071-11688 (30759)
KA kaxel78CTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	34% 233-444 (677)
LI lissartterCTR<$100	Yesavg 4¢	—	—	+$0	42% 5135-7056 (12191)
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100	Yesavg 20¢	—	—	+$0	53% 5862-5130 (10992)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100	Yesavg 6.8¢	—	—	+$0	32% 3992-8471 (12463)
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73<$100	Noavg 89¢	—	—	+$0	47% 124-142 (266)
IstarothCTR<$100	Yesavg 17.5¢	—	—	+$0	42% 269-368 (637)

Invested

$681

Value

$681

PnL

+$0.68

Record

98%

2932-70 (3002)

Invested

$318.68

Value

$319

PnL

+$0.32

Record

89%

5140-604 (5744)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

Invested

$67.2

Value

—

PnL

-$20.76

Record

36%

14106-25213 (39319)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

62%

19071-11688 (30759)

kaxel78CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

34%

233-444 (677)

lissartterCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

42%

5135-7056 (12191)

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

5862-5130 (10992)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

3992-8471 (12463)

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

124-142 (266)

IstarothCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

42%

269-368 (637)

Smart Money Signal

No

4 of 10 top traders (40%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x63c427be...c9d083

Slug

will-any-other-model-be-the-best-ai-model-on-october-26-2026

Traders in this Market

CoinTrick

No — $681

OraculumNobius

No — $319

xtxpleasecallme

Yes — $0

balthazar

No — $0

kaxel78

Yes — $0

lissartter

Yes — $0

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed

Yes — $0

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

Yes — $0

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73

No — $0

Istaroth

Yes — $0

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