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YesNoNo
fxwd12345CTR<$100No
LornaPredictsCTR<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will any game at Worlds 2026 last 50 minutes or more?
Resolved Yes. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 80%
Total Value
$106.97
Combined PnL
-$351.94
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes1 trader
Total Value$106.97
Total Shares107
Combined PnL+$97.45
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares945
Combined PnL-$449.39
Yes — 20%No — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SU suntori | Yesavg 8.9¢ | $9.52 | $106.97 | +$97.45 | 46% 2852-3388 (6240) |
0X 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938CTR | Noavg 89.8¢ | $437.74 | — | -$410.67 | 39% 1091-1679 (2770) |
E1 E100hrall012u312nc0cgvvbvc8CTR<$100 | Noavg 0.4¢ | $1.66 | — | -$1.66 | 5% 2-41 (43) |
fxwd12345CTR<$100 | Noavg 88¢ | $36.67 | — | -$36.67 | 73% 54-20 (74) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Noavg 1.3¢ | $0.39 | — | -$0.39 | 14% 93-569 (662) |
SU
suntoriInvested
$9.52
Value
$106.97
PnL
+$97.45
Record
46%
2852-3388 (6240)
0X
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938CTRInvested
$437.74
Value
—
PnL
-$410.67
Record
39%
1091-1679 (2770)
E1
E100hrall012u312nc0cgvvbvc8CTR<$100Invested
$1.66
Value
—
PnL
-$1.66
Record
5%
2-41 (43)
fxwd12345CTR<$100Invested
$36.67
Value
—
PnL
-$36.67
Record
73%
54-20 (74)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
$0.39
Value
—
PnL
-$0.39
Record
14%
93-569 (662)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xcf0c0567...3fda32
Slug
will-any-game-at-worlds-2026-last-50-minutes-or-more