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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?

Resolved No. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

No 50%

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

$17.54

Smart Money Signal

No

7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No7 traders

Total Value$1.5K

Total Shares1,534

Combined PnL+$432.37

Yes4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,173

Combined PnL-$414.84

No — 64%Yes — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
paddaa	Noavg 52.8¢	$783.43	$1.5K	+$432.32	56% 801-617 (1418)
SN SnapElectionAvoiderCTR	Yesavg 29.6¢	$329.28	—	-$396.6	53% 1060-953 (2013)
ZX zxc368<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	$49.95	$50	+$0.05	99% 12605-179 (12784)
ST StudentMoneyCTR<$100	Yesavg 21.3¢	$18.24	—	-$18.24	71% 823-329 (1152)
LI lissartter<$100	Noavg 60¢	—	—	+$0	42% 5160-7084 (12244)
YO YouSayUpISayDown<$100	Noavg 67¢	—	—	+$0	53% 3641-3171 (6812)
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100	Noavg 59.4¢	—	—	+$0	77% 11023-3363 (14386)
ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100	Yesavg 42¢	—	—	+$0	57% 15181-11609 (26790)
Istaroth<$100	Noavg 67¢	—	—	+$0	36% 273-494 (767)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Noavg 67.3¢	—	—	+$0	36% 14458-25898 (40356)
2B9SCTR<$100	Yesavg 30¢	—	—	+$0	18% 3751-16645 (20396)

Invested

$783.43

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$432.32

Record

56%

801-617 (1418)

SnapElectionAvoiderCTR

Invested

$329.28

Value

—

PnL

-$396.6

Record

53%

1060-953 (2013)

Invested

$49.95

Value

$50

PnL

+$0.05

Record

99%

12605-179 (12784)

StudentMoneyCTR<$100

Invested

$18.24

Value

—

PnL

-$18.24

Record

71%

823-329 (1152)

lissartter<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

42%

5160-7084 (12244)

YouSayUpISayDown<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

3641-3171 (6812)

Elias.Thornwell<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

77%

11023-3363 (14386)

ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

15181-11609 (26790)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

273-494 (767)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

14458-25898 (40356)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

18%

3751-16645 (20396)

Smart Money Signal

No

7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xe8006857...c5b837

Slug

will-andrea-kaiser-win-the-2026-niagara-on-the-lake-mayoral-election

Traders in this Market

paddaa

No — $1.5K

SnapElectionAvoider

Yes — $0

zxc368

No — $50

StudentMoney

Yes — $0

lissartter

No — $0

YouSayUpISayDown

No — $0

Elias.Thornwell

No — $0

ArmageddonRewardsBilly

Yes — $0

Istaroth

No — $0

xtxpleasecallme

No — $0

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