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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Resolved No. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

19

No 42%

Total Value

$748.83

Combined PnL

$0

Smart Money Signal

No

8 of 19 top traders (42%)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xbb4a907e...67559a
Slug
will-amal-movement-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-lebanese-parliamentary-election

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