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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Alfredo Álvarez Díaz win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?
Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
19
Yes 75%
Total Value
$41
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
14 of 19 top traders (75%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x580d7b69...0cde26
Slug
will-alfredo-alvarez-diaz-win-the-next-arequipa-mayoral-elections-20260811165718019