Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?
Resolved No. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 38%
Total Value
$442.59
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 8 top traders (38%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x1785c017...8707c9
Slug
will-230-or-more-ships-transit-the-bab-el-mandeb-strait-between-august-31-september-6