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Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Jan 11, 2027

Yes2¢No98¢Ends Mon, Jan 11, 2027View on Polymarket
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Consensus Traders

0

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$0

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Yes2%
No98%

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance2.8%

1.7¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$3431.88
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
3531.9

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0x24b8558c...2d43ff
Slug
will-1100-to-1149-tornadoes-occur-in-the-united-states-in-2026

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