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RN1Over
poshposhOver
tradecraftCTR<$100UnderUnderUnderUnder
HRTradingCTR<$100Under
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Carabobo FC vs. Metropolitanos FC: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Under 71%
Total Value
$582.38
Combined PnL
-$134.23
Smart Money Signal
Under
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over2 traders
Total Value$582.38
Total Shares582
Combined PnL+$341.76
Under5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares857
Combined PnL-$475.99
Over — 29%Under — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1 | Overavg 44.4¢ | $200.75 | $451.7 | +$250.95 | 54% 57714-49978 (107692) |
poshposh | Overavg 29.9¢ | $39.87 | $130.68 | +$90.81 | 58% 10965-7944 (18909) |
tradecraftCTR<$100 | Underavg 60¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 51% 6135-5856 (11991) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Underavg 53.9¢ | $393.14 | — | -$393.14 | 50% 26105-25975 (52080) |
AR ARocky33CTR<$100 | Underavg 65¢ | $88 | — | -$57.2 | 76% 4202-1319 (5521) |
RO Rocko33CTR<$100 | Underavg 65.3¢ | $20 | — | -$20 | 64% 1263-722 (1985) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Underavg 53¢ | $2.65 | — | -$2.65 | 53% 6276-5638 (11914) |
RN1Invested
$200.75
Value
$451.7
PnL
+$250.95
Record
54%
57714-49978 (107692)
poshposhInvested
$39.87
Value
$130.68
PnL
+$90.81
Record
58%
10965-7944 (18909)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
51%
6135-5856 (11991)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTRInvested
$393.14
Value
—
PnL
-$393.14
Record
50%
26105-25975 (52080)
AR
ARocky33CTR<$100Invested
$88
Value
—
PnL
-$57.2
Record
76%
4202-1319 (5521)
RO
Rocko33CTR<$100Invested
$20
Value
—
PnL
-$20
Record
64%
1263-722 (1985)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$2.65
Value
—
PnL
-$2.65
Record
53%
6276-5638 (11914)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xca5873fb...2cf1f3
Slug
ven1-cfc-met-2026-11-01-total-1pt5