Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. Caracas FC: O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Under 67%
$2.04
-$34.34
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() RN1<$100 | Overavg 51Β’ | $1.04 | $2.04 | +$1 | 54% 55509-47585 (103094) |
0X 0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191CTR<$100 | Underavg 3Β’ | $0.48 | β | -$0.48 | 47% 4431-4900 (9331) |
![]() poshposhCTR<$100 | Underavg 7Β’ | $1.08 | β | -$1.53 | 60% 9216-6172 (15388) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Underavg 27.8Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 49% 18514-18927 (37441) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 38.4Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 24255-23884 (48139) |
VA Vampiro1 | Overavg 97Β’ | $161.66 | β | -$33.33 | 77% 3081-937 (4018) |
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000CTR<$100 | Underavg 3Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 42% 2201-2990 (5191) |
![]() HRTradingCTR<$100 | Underavg 20Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 53% 2815-2479 (5294) |
RN1<$100Invested
$1.04
Value
$2.04
PnL
+$1
Record
54%
55509-47585 (103094)
Invested
$0.48
Value
β
PnL
-$0.48
Record
47%
4431-4900 (9331)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$1.08
Value
β
PnL
-$1.53
Record
60%
9216-6172 (15388)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
18514-18927 (37441)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24255-23884 (48139)
Invested
$161.66
Value
β
PnL
-$33.33
Record
77%
3081-937 (4018)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
2201-2990 (5191)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
2815-2479 (5294)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market

RN1
Over β $2.04
0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191
CTRUnder β $0

poshposh
CTRUnder β $0
omnibus-076daa
CTRUnder β $0
GoalLineGhost
CTRUnder β $0
Vampiro1
Over β $0
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000
CTRUnder β $0

HRTrading
CTRUnder β $0