Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 4 Winner

4 of 8 top Polymarket traders hold Gentle Mates GC (50%) · Gentle Mates GC at 100¢ · $6K held · ended Nov 2

Gentle Mates GC>99¢KRÜ Blaze<1¢Ended Mon, Nov 2, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Gentle Mates GC

Consensus Traders

Gentle Mates GC 50%

Total Value

$6.5K

Combined PnL

$71.79

Smart Money Entry

68.6¢ → 100¢

+46% since entry · 4 traders

Research grade

NeutralGentle Mates GC at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Gentle Mates GC

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Gentle Mates GC100%

KRÜ Blaze0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Gentle Mates GC4 traders

Total Value$6.0K

Total Shares6,247

Combined PnL+$545.64

KRÜ Blaze4 traders

Total Value$450.05

Total Shares2,583

Combined PnL-$473.84

Gentle Mates GC — 50%KRÜ Blaze — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f	Gentle Mates GCavg 59.8¢	$3.4K	$3.7K	+$288.13	54% 2460-2113 (4573)
LO looppau	Gentle Mates GCavg 99.9¢	$1.2K	$1.2K	+$0.6	99% 11171-71 (11242)
CA calculate10	Gentle Mates GCavg 65.8¢	$1.0K	$1.1K	+$252.55	53% 1233-1082 (2315)
PI PIPIZINCTR	KRÜ Blazeavg 42.8¢	$300	$297.77	-$2.23	51% 428-405 (833)
clazzy1CTR	KRÜ Blazeavg 42.7¢	$127.99	$151.49	+$23.5	62% 413-249 (662)
DA dabossrealman<$100	Gentle Mates GCavg 41¢	$21	$25.35	+$4.35	61% 2592-1637 (4229)
GT gt7238CTR	KRÜ Blazeavg 29.2¢	$384.04	$0.66	-$383.38	45% 626-764 (1390)
TO topdogbigboiCTR	KRÜ Blazeavg 42.2¢	$111.86	$0.13	-$111.73	48% 8991-9637 (18628)

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f

Gentle Mates GC

Invested

$3,448.11

Value

$3.7K

PnL

+$288.13

Record

54%

2460-2113 (4573)

looppau

Gentle Mates GC

Invested

$1,207.66

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$0.6

Record

99%

11171-71 (11242)

calculate10

Gentle Mates GC

Invested

$1,000.61

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$252.55

Record

53%

1233-1082 (2315)

PIPIZINCTR

KRÜ Blaze

Invested

$300

Value

$297.77

PnL

-$2.23

Record

51%

428-405 (833)

clazzy1CTR

KRÜ Blaze

Invested

$127.99

Value

$151.49

PnL

+$23.5

Record

62%

413-249 (662)

dabossrealman<$100

Gentle Mates GC

Invested

$21

Value

$25.35

PnL

+$4.35

Record

61%

2592-1637 (4229)

gt7238CTR

KRÜ Blaze

Invested

$384.04

Value

$0.66

PnL

-$383.38

Record

45%

626-764 (1390)

topdogbigboiCTR

KRÜ Blaze

Invested

$111.86

Value

$0.13

PnL

-$111.73

Record

48%

8991-9637 (18628)

Research grade

NeutralGentle Mates GC at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Gentle Mates GC

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Gentle Mates GC wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.