
Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs Team Liquid Brazil (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs
10 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold KRÜ Blaze (100%) · KRÜ Blaze at 73¢ · $12K held · ends Oct 29
⚖️
Neutral
KRÜ Blaze
10
KRÜ Blaze 100%
1 arb excluded
$12.0K
$20.91
26.8¢ → 73¢
+173% since entry · 10 traders
Research grade
NeutralKRÜ Blaze at 73%
No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).
- Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.
The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.
Smart Money Signal
10 of 10 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() esportsbetter1 | KRÜ Blazeavg 25.9¢ | $7.2K | $7.2K | +$34.08 | 48% 167-183 (350) |
![]() 0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fARB<$100 | KRÜ Blazeavg 49.9¢ | $2.5K | $2.6K | +$151.87 | 53% 2207-1972 (4179) |
| └ KRÜ Blaze leg | KRÜ Blazeavg 49.9¢ | $1.4K | $2.0K | +$648.37 | |
| └ Team Liquid Brazil leg | Team Liquid Brazilavg 49.6¢ | $1.1K | $591.95 | -$496.5 | |
CA calculate10 | KRÜ Blazeavg 53.8¢ | $551.94 | $684.45 | +$159.65 | 53% 1215-1071 (2286) |
GR gregbeast | KRÜ Blazeavg 27¢ | $809.7 | $600 | -$209.7 | 39% 164-257 (421) |
BI BillBenter2026 | KRÜ Blazeavg 24.9¢ | $293.51 | $305.97 | +$12.47 | 58% 18416-13508 (31924) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080 | KRÜ Blazeavg 26¢ | $182 | $182 | +$0 | 51% 1291-1227 (2518) |
AM ameisgoat11 | KRÜ Blazeavg 38.9¢ | $113.3 | $151.75 | +$38.45 | 47% 2067-2357 (4424) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846 | KRÜ Blazeavg 47¢ | $117.5 | $112.5 | -$5 | 59% 30106-20832 (50938) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | KRÜ Blazeavg 26¢ | $19.8 | $19.8 | +$0 | 49% 18625-19055 (37680) |
CC ccllar<$100 | KRÜ Blazeavg 25¢ | $30.09 | $19.26 | -$10.83 | 46% 399-472 (871) |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | KRÜ Blazeavg 28.2¢ | $3.93 | $5.72 | +$1.79 | 53% 3098-2756 (5854) |
esportsbetter1Invested
$7,194.64
Value
$7.2K
PnL
+$34.08
Record
48%
167-183 (350)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fARB<$100Invested
$2,489.02
Value
$2.6K
PnL
+$151.87
Record
53%
2207-1972 (4179)
Both legs:
Invested
$551.94
Value
$684.45
PnL
+$159.65
Record
53%
1215-1071 (2286)
Invested
$809.7
Value
$600
PnL
-$209.7
Record
39%
164-257 (421)
Invested
$293.51
Value
$305.97
PnL
+$12.47
Record
58%
18416-13508 (31924)
Invested
$182
Value
$182
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
1291-1227 (2518)
Invested
$113.3
Value
$151.75
PnL
+$38.45
Record
47%
2067-2357 (4424)
Invested
$117.5
Value
$112.5
PnL
-$5
Record
59%
30106-20832 (50938)
Invested
$19.8
Value
$19.8
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
18625-19055 (37680)
Invested
$30.09
Value
$19.26
PnL
-$10.83
Record
46%
399-472 (871)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$3.93
Value
$5.72
PnL
+$1.79
Record
53%
3098-2756 (5854)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
73.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Traders in this Market

esportsbetter1
KRÜ Blaze — $7.2K

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f
ARBArbitrage — excluded
calculate10
KRÜ Blaze — $684.45
gregbeast
KRÜ Blaze — $600
BillBenter2026
KRÜ Blaze — $305.97
0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080
KRÜ Blaze — $182
ameisgoat11
KRÜ Blaze — $151.75
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
KRÜ Blaze — $112.5
omnibus-076daa
KRÜ Blaze — $19.8
ccllar
KRÜ Blaze — $19.26