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poshposhCTR<$100Arsenal WFCSport Lisboa e BenficaSport Lisboa e BenficaArsenal WFCSport Lisboa e BenficaSport Lisboa e BenficaSport Lisboa e Benfica Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Arsenal WFC β but Sport Lisboa e Benfica won instead.

Spread: Arsenal WFC (-3.5)
Resolved Sport Lisboa e Benfica. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Arsenal WFC. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Arsenal WFC 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$11.84
Smart Money Signal
Arsenal WFC
2 of 7 top traders (29%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Arsenal WFC0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Arsenal WFC2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares49
Combined PnL-$18.02
Sport Lisboa e Benfica5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$29.86
Arsenal WFC β 29%Sport Lisboa e Benfica β 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() poshposhCTR<$100 | Arsenal WFCavg 23.7Β’ | $18.02 | β | -$18.02 | 59% 9478-6467 (15945) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Sport Lisboa e Benficaavg 88.7Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 59% 44789-31177 (75966) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Sport Lisboa e Benficaavg 70.6Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 24471-24125 (48596) |
AR ARocky33CTR<$100 | Arsenal WFCavg 53Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 76% 3948-1253 (5201) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Sport Lisboa e Benficaavg 58Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 49% 12209-12458 (24667) |
RO Rocky31<$100 | Sport Lisboa e Benficaavg 70.7Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 73% 1504-550 (2054) |
BE Betyourself<$100 | Sport Lisboa e Benficaavg 70.6Β’ | $71.86 | β | +$29.86 | 64% 2224-1240 (3464) |
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$18.02
Value
β
PnL
-$18.02
Record
59%
9478-6467 (15945)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
44789-31177 (75966)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24471-24125 (48596)
AR
ARocky33CTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
76%
3948-1253 (5201)
LU
LuckyLoo<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
12209-12458 (24667)
RO
Rocky31<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
73%
1504-550 (2054)
BE
Betyourself<$100Invested
$71.86
Value
β
PnL
+$29.86
Record
64%
2224-1240 (3464)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x85d4bfc9...f0e9fc
Slug
uwcl-ars-slb-2026-10-28-spread-home-3pt5