Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was No β but Yes won instead.
Will El Paso Locomotive FC win on 2026-10-30?
Resolved Yes. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
9
No 50%
$228.74
-$417.46
Smart Money Signal
4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LE LeLynxMalynx | Yesavg 45Β’ | $62.55 | $138.99 | +$76.45 | 58% 28639-21134 (49773) |
VD VD721lsj4938Dk388CTR | Noavg 53.9Β’ | $411.07 | β | -$411.07 | 55% 1738-1429 (3167) |
LO looppau<$100 | Yesavg 99.9Β’ | $59.26 | $59.26 | +$0.06 | 99% 10888-65 (10953) |
CC ccllar<$100 | Yesavg 62Β’ | $18.9 | $30.48 | +$11.58 | 46% 423-490 (913) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Noavg 23Β’ | $86.48 | β | -$86.48 | 49% 7853-8150 (16003) |
![]() poshposhCTR<$100 | Noavg 12.9Β’ | $6.27 | β | -$7.99 | 59% 10106-7093 (17199) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Yesavg 86Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 49% 19132-19523 (38655) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Noavg 30Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 33342-32905 (66247) |
SY Syrrok<$100 | Yesavg 94.4Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 61% 1805-1157 (2962) |
Invested
$62.55
Value
$138.99
PnL
+$76.45
Record
58%
28639-21134 (49773)
Invested
$411.07
Value
β
PnL
-$411.07
Record
55%
1738-1429 (3167)
Invested
$59.26
Value
$59.26
PnL
+$0.06
Record
99%
10888-65 (10953)
Invested
$18.9
Value
$30.48
PnL
+$11.58
Record
46%
423-490 (913)
Invested
$86.48
Value
β
PnL
-$86.48
Record
49%
7853-8150 (16003)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$6.27
Value
β
PnL
-$7.99
Record
59%
10106-7093 (17199)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
19132-19523 (38655)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33342-32905 (66247)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
1805-1157 (2962)
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