Back to Markets
Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 11
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes1%
No100%
Chat
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance1.6%
0.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$6253.74
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
6353.7
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x0863b945...09a9df
Slug
us-tornadoes-in-october-2026-20260925t160000000z-will-there-be-between-60-and-89-tornadoes-in-the-us-in-october-2026