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Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 11
SIGNAL
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Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes4%
No96%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance5.7%
4.4¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.3¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$1668.22
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
1768.2
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xdcaa92bc...2322da
Slug
us-tornadoes-in-october-2026-20260925t160000000z-will-there-be-90-or-more-tornadoes-in-the-us-in-october-2026