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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
26
No 50%
Total Value
$32.2K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
13 of 26 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3982b6b3...539d11
Slug
us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by-may-23